Event Speakers
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Heidi Rico | Keynote Presenter
Heidi Rico | Keynote Presenter
US Foods

Sr. Director of Business Analytics & Forecasting

Heidi J. Rico is currently the Sr. Director of Commercial Business Analytics & Forecasting for US Foods. For the past 7 years, she has been leading teams supporting Merchandising, Marketing, Sales, and Finance in delivering impactful insights. With a solid statistics background and over 20 years of experience, she also takes responsibility for the integration of various forecasting workstreams in the company – ensuring consistent enterprise demand signals to support financial, promotional and labor forecasts. Prior to US Foods, Heidi spent 11 years at HAVI Global Solutions leading the Predictive Analytics team (North America) in developing forecasts and supply plan recommendations for all McDonald’s food and Happy Meal® promotions, packaging and games (Monopoly). Heidi holds a B.S. in Statistics (cum laude) from the University of the Philippines and an M.S. in Applied Statistics from Bowling Green State University.

Arya Eskamani
Arya Eskamani
Royal Caribbean Cruises

Data Science Leader

Arya Eskamani currently holds the role of Senior Predictive Analytics Analyst for Restaurant Services, Inc. where he is responsible for all complex analytical and forecasting projects. He has over five years of experience applying predictive analytics in a variety of professional fields including technology, healthcare, and manufacturing. Arya received his Bachelors in Business Economics from the University of Central Florida and a M.S. in Economics from Florida Atlantic University.

Geoffrey Stamper
Geoffrey Stamper
Bristol-Myers Squibb

Director, R&D Portfolio Optimization and Global Demand Planning
Geoff Stamper is the Director of R&D Portfolio Optimization and Global Demand Planning in the Enterprise Strategy Analytics organization at Bristol-Myers Squibb. Geoff’s career at BMS has included roles in strategic forecasting, market forecasting, and strategic planning and decision analysis. These roles supported revenue forecasting of both pipeline and inline brands. Prior to BMS, Geoff was at Abbott Laboratories where he held roles in the discovery organization as a scientist and in the R&D portfolio management organization as a decision analyst. Geoff has a bachelor’s degree in Biochemistry from the University of Missouri and a doctorate in Biophysics from Brandeis University.
Sara Brumbaugh
Sara Brumbaugh
Ceres Analytics

Managing Principal

Sara Brumbaugh is Managing Principal of Ceres Analytics, a consultancy specializing in applied mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Sara’s roots are in business forecasting: she’s worked with the IBF for over 20 years, and is the 2015 recipient of IBF’s Lifetime Achievement Award. Sara’s work in predictive analytics began with construction of forecast drivers to predict stock returns for mutual funds.She has developed customer-level response models in marketing, along with product optimizations in market research.Her current work focuses on bioinformatics in medicine and science.Sara holds a masters in Economics from Florida State University.

Charles Chase, CPF
Charles Chase, CPF
SAS Institute

Executive Industry Consultant

Mr. Chase is an author, thought leader and trusted advisor delivering demand planning and forecasting solutions to improve consumer packaged goods companies supply chain efficiencies. Prior to that, he worked for various companies, including the Mennen Company, Johnson & Johnson, Consumer Products Inc., Reckitt Benckiser PLC, Polaroid Corporation, Coca Cola, Wyeth-Ayerst Pharmaceuticals, and Heineken USA. He has more than 20 years of experience in the consumer packaged goods industry, and is an expert in sales forecasting, market response modeling, econometrics, and supply chain management. He is the author of several books, including Next Generation Demand Management: People, Process, Analytics, and Technology and Demand-Driven Forecasting: A Structured Approach to Forecasting. In addition, he is co-author of Bricks Matter: The Role of Supply Chains in Building Market-Driven Differentiation. He is also the second recipient of the IBF Lifetime Achievement Award.

Jonathon Karelse
Jonathon Karelse
Factors Group of Nutritional Companies

Chief Strategy Officer
Jonathon’s professional career has consisted of leadership roles in transportation, finance and health products, beginning in supply chain and demand planning roles and culminating in a vice president position in strategic planning and corporate development. Currently, he functions as the Chief Strategy Officer at the Factors Group of Nutritional Companies. He is a recognized thought leader in demand planning and is co-founding partner of the S&OP consultancy NorthFind Partners. Jonathon has been a long-term contributor to the IBF’s body of knowledge, with a specific focus on forecasting metrics and diagnostics and forecast value-add. He studied economics at the University of Western Ontario before moving to Vancouver to study law at the University of British Columbia. Jonathon went on to study operations and value chain management at the MIT Sloan School of Management.
David Wehling
David Wehling
The Toro Company

SIOP & Analytics, International Division
Dave is a seasoned professional specializing in International demand planning and predictive analytics and currently leads SIOP and analytics for The Toro Company, a role he has held for 23 years. He is also an adjunct university instructor, drawing on his academic background which saw him gain a Doctorate in Business Administration. As a university instructor he delivers courses on Business Analytics and Data Visualization. Dave is also the author of ‘A Practical Leadership Model for Frontline and Mid-Level Managers Based on the Writings of American Hall of Fame Sports Coaches’. Dave holds a bachelor’s in Business/Mathematics from the University of Wisconsin-River Falls and an MBA from the University of St. Thomas.
Tim Plumadore
Tim Plumadore
Beech-Nut Nutrition

Materials Planner/MRP Controller
Tim is currently Materials Planner/MRP Controller with Beech-Nut Nutrition in Amsterdam, NY. In his current role he has instituted several new methods for inventory optimization including a safety stock algorithm. Last quarter he received the Beech-Nut Goodness of Nature award in recognition of his accomplishments in implementing the safety stock process now governing the company’s raw material and packaging. Prior to this, he worked in the defense industry at Raytheon as a Supply Chain Automation Specialist where he managed the entire automated procurement process, responsible for about $25 Million in order volume. Tim holds a Bachelors in Supply Chain Management from Rochester Institute of Technology in Rochester, NY, with a concentration in statistics.
Joe Ganancio
Joe Ganancio
Lenovo

Data Science Director
Joe Ganancio is a Data Science Director at Lenovo and has developed and implemented practical data science solutions with state-of-the-art statistical modeling in consumer electronics and health care industries, helping businesses succeed improving people’s lives.Ganancio’s expertise range from Data Sciences, Marketing Analytics, Supply Chain, Operations, Program Management, and Strategic Planning.Joe has a master degree in Predictive Analytics from Northwestern University, executive MBA from University of Pittsburgh, master in Project Management from George Washington University and Engineering from University of Campinas.
Kendell Churchwell, CPF
Kendell Churchwell, CPF
Southern Farm Bureau Life Insurance Company

Senior Marketing Data Analyst
Kendell Churchwell is a senior analyst with Southern Farm Bureau Life Insurance where she is responsible for the implementation of marketing predictive analytics projects. Her career started at IBM as an IT specialist before moving on to business analysis and analytics roles at C Spire where she spent 10 years. She is a Certified Analytics Professional (CAP®, INFORMS), a certified IBM SPSS Modeler Professional, and Project Management Professional (PMP). Kendell has BS in Mathematics and Computer Science and an MBA from Mississippi State University.
Wes Womer
Wes Womer
BraunAbility

FP&A Manager
Thomas Matzner
Thomas Matzner
BECCA Cosmetics

Senior Manager of Demand Planning
Thomas Matzner ‘s career has focused on planning, maintaining a focus on building successful brands. Thomas joined BECCA in 2017 to lead the demand planning team and create inventory and demand plans for global customers, multiple warehouses and 3,000+ finished goods and components. Quickly taking on additional responsibilities, he launched the company’s first visual analytical tool for dynamic sales information. Thomas also guided the creation of a proprietary algorithm which calculates the potential revenue or “Size of Prize” for new product launches. Prior to BECCA, Thomas was COO and co-founder of PRUV Vodka, and prior to that, a retail planning analyst for Lacoste. He holds a BS in Management and Finance, and post-Graduate diplomas from New York University and MIT.
Vikram Govindan
Vikram Govindan
Newell Brands

Director of Data Science
Vikram Govindan is Director of Data Science at Newell Brands, based in Hoboken, NJ. In this role, he leads a team of data scientists focused on supply chain reporting and statistical demand forecasting at scale. Before taking this role, he founded and led the data science practice at C&S Wholesale Grocers, a $30 Billion privately held wholesale grocer. Prior to that, he spent nearly 8 years at Monsanto Company, holding various data science roles of increasing responsibility, with the latter half of his career focused on supply chain. Vikram holds B.Tech and M.Tech degrees in Chemical Engineering from IIT Bombay, and an MBA from Washington University in Saint Louis. He also holds CPF, ACPF, APICS, CPIM and CSCP certifications.
Felix Anane
Felix Anane
Wonder Workshop

Director of Demand Planning and Analytics
Mike Guerra
Mike Guerra
Jose Cuervo

Sr. Manager, Operations
Mike is a Global Supply Chain leader with 20 years’ experience in the automobile, aerospace, food and beverages, and telecommunication industries with a proven track record in delivering complex transformation system projects from scoping and planning to final delivery. His current role is Sr. Manager, Supply Chain Operations, at Jose Cuervo where he oversees the Demand, Supply, Bulk and Manufacturing Alliances planning teams. Mike has led the production module of JDA and other software implementations across retail and manufacturing environments. His background includes many years of manufacturing, demand, supply and consultancy areas. Prior to joining Jose Cuervo, he was Director of Planning and Customer Supply Chain at The Hershey Company. He holds an MBA from the University of Monterrey.
Michael Devinoff
Michael Devinoff
Bristol-Myers Squibb

Vice President, Enterprise Strategy Analytics (ESA) Lead
Michael Devinoff is currently Vice President, Enterprise Strategy Analytics Lead at Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMS). He created and leads a 50-person strong, company-wide team focusing on strategic long-range forecasting, manufacturing supply planning, enterprise resource allocation and other cross-business unit advanced analytics. Michael has been with BMS for 18 years working in different areas of the business including Marketing Research, Forecasting, and Advanced Analytics. Prior to his time with BMS, Michael spent four years with NFO-Migliara/Kaplan Associates, an industry-leading Marketing Research consulting company. There he successfully built a multi-million-dollar base of client business and led a broad team of research analysts addressing strategic business questions across the entire range of products. Michael holds an MBA in Marketing from Rutgers University Graduate School of Management, and a BS in Biology/Genetic Engineering from Binghamton University.
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    Why Attend

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    Pre-Conference Workshop

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    About Us

Reserve Your Space Without Obligation

This event was very informative and there were great ideas presented that I will be using to improve our forecasting process.
Barbara Thomas, Demand Planning Manager, Ecolab, Inc.

IBF’s 5th Annual Predictive Business Analytics, Forecasting & Planning Conference is a comprehensive program covering everything about predicting the future using new sources of data, methods, tools, talent management approaches, and more to become confident with our decision making and business plans.

Why YOU should Attend:

  • Understand how to create a data driven culture in your organization and win
  • Learn how to turn Big Data into valuable insights for better operations planning
  • Learn how to apply predictive analytics to the S&OP process for maximum impact
  • Learn how to use social media, point-of-sale (POS), syndicated data, and other attributes to predict sales
  • Gain knowledge on emerging technology tools for predictive analytics & business forecasting that are making organizations more profitable
  • Learn how to optimize inventory and customer service through improved business analytics
  • See the significant financial benefits that can result from improving the analytics capabilities within your organization
  • Learn how to mitigate risk through predictive analytics
  • And much more
Event Speakers
Show all Speakers
Heidi Rico | Keynote Presenter
US Foods
Sr. Director of Business Analytics & Forecasting
Arya Eskamani
Royal Caribbean Cruises
Data Science Leader
Geoffrey Stamper
Bristol-Myers Squibb
Director, R&D Portfolio Optimization and Global Demand Planning
Past Conference Schedule
  • Pre-Conference Workshop
    May 6, 2019
  • Conference Day 1
    May 7, 2019
  • Conference Day 2
    May 8, 2019
May 6, IBF Members Only
12:30 PM - 1:30 PM
Pre-Conference Workshop Registration
1:30 PM - 4:30 PM
Hands-On Data Science & Predictive Analytics - 1/2 Day Workshop

This workshop will provide practical tips to incorporate into your own organization, where you’ll learn to leverage the cutting-edge of analytics technology. We will focus on data science applications for forecasting and best practices using Python. Recent advances in forecasting, often called Predictive Analytics techniques, involve the use of Big Data, including analysis of textual data like that created by social media (Facebook etc.). In this workshop, you will fully develop and script your own analytics solutions while simultaneously learning Python and its capabilities. This ½ day masterclass will be especially helpful for demand planners and forecasters looking to implement the latest advancements and next-level techniques.

I. Introduction

II. Software Overview

  • Popular Data Science tools
  • Python 101

III. Environment

  • Reading and summarizing data
  • Merging data objects
  • Feature engineering
  • Installing and initiating packages

IV. Data Cleansing & Preparation

  • Feature Scaling
  • Univariate vs Multivariate Outlier Detection
  • DBSCAN clustering, anomaly extraction

V. Machine Learning Module 1 – Regression

  • Machine Learning Defined
  • Comparison to Statistical Methods
  • Artificial Neural Networks

VI. Model Optimization

  • K-Fold Cross Validation
  • Parameter Selection
  • Assessing model accuracy, stability
  • Combining models to improve accuracy

VII. Machine Learning Module 2 – Classification

  • Overview of Ensemble Modeling
  • Random Forest Trees

VIII. Machine Learning Module 3 – Advanced Topics

  • Gradient Boosted Trees
  • Explaining model behavior
  • Extended R Programming

IX. Data Visualization

  • Plotting Basics
  • Advanced Graphics

X. Topics of Exploration & Closing

author
Arya Eskamani
Royal Caribbean CruisesData Science Leader
5:00 PM - 7:00 PM
Early Conference Registration
Pricing
Super Early Bird Rate
(Expires in 3 days, 8 hours)
Conference
May 6-8, 2019
Breakfast & Refreshments
Lunch
Evening Cocktail Reception
May 7, 2019
Pre-confernece Workshop
May 6, 2019 (IBF Members ONLY)
IBF Membership
(1 year)
IBF CPF Certification Exams
Fundamentals Of Demand Planning & Forecasting Book
Discount Price
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(2 PERSONS)
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PRE-CONFERENCE WORKSHOP: PREDICTIVE BUSINESS ANALYTICS & BIG DATA WITHIN THE SUPPLY CHAIN
(IBF MEMBERS ONLY)
GOLD CERTIFY PACKAGE
$1,599.00
$1,399
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$4,647
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$2,949.00
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Sponsors
Put the IBF to Work for You!

Become an IBF Member and Start Improving Your Forecasting & Planning Performance Today.

The IBF Advantage:

IBF members include well-known company professionals that span a broad array of business sectors. By joining our organization, you can make certain that your company sets up the right forecasting & planning process and uses the best techniques available. Moreover, you can be sure that your forecasting and demand planning staff has the proper knowledge and skill set for success.

As an IBF member you receive:

  • A subscription to the Journal of Business Forecasting, which is primarily written by and geared toward practitioners.
  • Our Research Reports which include valuable benchmarking information and provide you with eye opening information on various topics in Business Forecasting and Planning.
  • Special discounts on our Conferences, Workshops, Training Seminars, Certification Program, as well as on any new products and services we will offer in the future.
  • Access to Journal of Business Forecasting Past Articles (FREE)Access to our growing online Knowledge section & Action Templates
  • Complimentary 1-day Tutorials at select Global events ($1000 USD Value)
Upcoming Events & Trainings
August 12 – 13, 2019
Boston, Massachusetts USA
Business Planning, Forecasting & S&OP...
June 19 – 21, 2019
Las Vegas, Nevada USA
Supply Chain Planning Training Course w/ 1-Day S&OP and Demand Management Workshop...
June 13 – 14, 2019
Chicago, Illinois USA
...
Event Location
Harrah's Hotel
Poydras St, 228, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA
IBF Sleeping Room Special Rate: $219 (USD)/ night + tax
Group code: S05IBF9
Reservations: +1-877-466-7847

*Harrah's will assess a $15 fee for all reservations made via the telephone call center. This fee will not apply to reservations made via the internet.
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