Name: PREDICTIVE BUSINESS ANALYTICS FORECASTING & PLANNING CONFERENCE
Start: Please insert valid ISO 8601 date/time here. Examples: 2015-07-27 or 2015-07-27T15:30
Location: Harrah's Hotel

Event Speakers

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Heidi Rico | Keynote Presenter

US Foods

Sr. Director of Business Analytics & Forecasting

Heidi J. Rico is currently the Sr. Director of Commercial Business Analytics & Forecasting for US Foods. For the past 7 years, she has been leading teams supporting Merchandising, Marketing, Sales, and Finance in delivering impactful insights. With a solid statistics background and over 20 years of experience, she also takes responsibility for the integration of various forecasting workstreams in the company – ensuring consistent enterprise demand signals to support financial, promotional and labor forecasts. Prior to US Foods, Heidi spent 11 years at HAVI Global Solutions leading the Predictive Analytics team (North America) in developing forecasts and supply plan recommendations for all McDonald’s food and Happy Meal® promotions, packaging and games (Monopoly). Heidi holds a B.S. in Statistics (cum laude) from the University of the Philippines and an M.S. in Applied Statistics from Bowling Green State University.

Arya Eskamani

Royal Caribbean Cruises

Data Science Leader

Arya Eskamani currently holds the role of Senior Predictive Analytics Analyst for Restaurant Services, Inc. where he is responsible for all complex analytical and forecasting projects. He has over five years of experience applying predictive analytics in a variety of professional fields including technology, healthcare, and manufacturing. Arya received his Bachelors in Business Economics from the University of Central Florida and a M.S. in Economics from Florida Atlantic University.

Geoffrey Stamper

Bristol-Myers Squibb

Director, R&D Portfolio Optimization and Global Demand Planning

Geoff Stamper is the Director of R&D Portfolio Optimization and Global Demand Planning in the Enterprise Strategy Analytics organization at Bristol-Myers Squibb. Geoff’s career at BMS has included roles in strategic forecasting, market forecasting, and strategic planning and decision analysis. These roles supported revenue forecasting of both pipeline and inline brands. Prior to BMS, Geoff was at Abbott Laboratories where he held roles in the discovery organization as a scientist and in the R&D portfolio management organization as a decision analyst. Geoff has a bachelor’s degree in Biochemistry from the University of Missouri and a doctorate in Biophysics from Brandeis University.

Sara Brumbaugh

Ceres Analytics

Managing Principal

Sara Brumbaugh is Managing Principal of Ceres Analytics, a consultancy specializing in applied mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Sara’s roots are in business forecasting: she’s worked with the IBF for over 20 years, and is the 2015 recipient of IBF’s Lifetime Achievement Award. Sara’s work in predictive analytics began with construction of forecast drivers to predict stock returns for mutual funds.She has developed customer-level response models in marketing, along with product optimizations in market research.Her current work focuses on bioinformatics in medicine and science.Sara holds a masters in Economics from Florida State University.

Charles Chase, CPF

SAS Institute

Executive Industry Consultant

Mr. Chase is an author, thought leader and trusted advisor delivering demand planning and forecasting solutions to improve consumer packaged goods companies supply chain efficiencies. Prior to that, he worked for various companies, including the Mennen Company, Johnson & Johnson, Consumer Products Inc., Reckitt Benckiser PLC, Polaroid Corporation, Coca Cola, Wyeth-Ayerst Pharmaceuticals, and Heineken USA. He has more than 20 years of experience in the consumer packaged goods industry, and is an expert in sales forecasting, market response modeling, econometrics, and supply chain management. He is the author of several books, including Next Generation Demand Management: People, Process, Analytics, and Technology and Demand-Driven Forecasting: A Structured Approach to Forecasting. In addition, he is co-author of Bricks Matter: The Role of Supply Chains in Building Market-Driven Differentiation. He is also the second recipient of the IBF Lifetime Achievement Award.

Jonathon Karelse

Factors Group of Nutritional Companies

Chief Strategy Officer

Jonathon’s professional career has consisted of leadership roles in transportation, finance and health products, beginning in supply chain and demand planning roles and culminating in a vice president position in strategic planning and corporate development. Currently, he functions as the Chief Strategy Officer at the Factors Group of Nutritional Companies. He is a recognized thought leader in demand planning and is co-founding partner of the S&OP consultancy NorthFind Partners. Jonathon has been a long-term contributor to the IBF’s body of knowledge, with a specific focus on forecasting metrics and diagnostics and forecast value-add. He studied economics at the University of Western Ontario before moving to Vancouver to study law at the University of British Columbia. Jonathon went on to study operations and value chain management at the MIT Sloan School of Management.

David Wehling

The Toro Company

SIOP & Analytics, International Division

Dave is a seasoned professional specializing in International demand planning and predictive analytics and currently leads SIOP and analytics for The Toro Company, a role he has held for 23 years. He is also an adjunct university instructor, drawing on his academic background which saw him gain a Doctorate in Business Administration. As a university instructor he delivers courses on Business Analytics and Data Visualization. Dave is also the author of ‘A Practical Leadership Model for Frontline and Mid-Level Managers Based on the Writings of American Hall of Fame Sports Coaches’. Dave holds a bachelor’s in Business/Mathematics from the University of Wisconsin-River Falls and an MBA from the University of St. Thomas.

Tim Plumadore

Beech-Nut Nutrition

Materials Planner/MRP Controller

Tim is currently Materials Planner/MRP Controller with Beech-Nut Nutrition in Amsterdam, NY. In his current role he has instituted several new methods for inventory optimization including a safety stock algorithm. Last quarter he received the Beech-Nut Goodness of Nature award in recognition of his accomplishments in implementing the safety stock process now governing the company’s raw material and packaging. Prior to this, he worked in the defense industry at Raytheon as a Supply Chain Automation Specialist where he managed the entire automated procurement process, responsible for about $25 Million in order volume. Tim holds a Bachelors in Supply Chain Management from Rochester Institute of Technology in Rochester, NY, with a concentration in statistics.

Joe Ganancio

Lenovo

Data Science Director

Joe Ganancio is a Data Science Director at Lenovo and has developed and implemented practical data science solutions with state-of-the-art statistical modeling in consumer electronics and health care industries, helping businesses succeed improving people’s lives.Ganancio’s expertise range from Data Sciences, Marketing Analytics, Supply Chain, Operations, Program Management, and Strategic Planning.Joe has a master degree in Predictive Analytics from Northwestern University, executive MBA from University of Pittsburgh, master in Project Management from George Washington University and Engineering from University of Campinas.

Kendell Churchwell, CPF

Southern Farm Bureau Life Insurance Company

Senior Marketing Data Analyst

Kendell Churchwell is a senior analyst with Southern Farm Bureau Life Insurance where she is responsible for the implementation of marketing predictive analytics projects. Her career started at IBM as an IT specialist before moving on to business analysis and analytics roles at C Spire where she spent 10 years. She is a Certified Analytics Professional (CAP®, INFORMS), a certified IBM SPSS Modeler Professional, and Project Management Professional (PMP). Kendell has BS in Mathematics and Computer Science and an MBA from Mississippi State University.

Wes Womer

BraunAbility

FP&A Manager

Thomas Matzner

BECCA Cosmetics

Senior Manager of Demand Planning

Thomas Matzner ‘s career has focused on planning, maintaining a focus on building successful brands. Thomas joined BECCA in 2017 to lead the demand planning team and create inventory and demand plans for global customers, multiple warehouses and 3,000+ finished goods and components. Quickly taking on additional responsibilities, he launched the company’s first visual analytical tool for dynamic sales information. Thomas also guided the creation of a proprietary algorithm which calculates the potential revenue or “Size of Prize” for new product launches. Prior to BECCA, Thomas was COO and co-founder of PRUV Vodka, and prior to that, a retail planning analyst for Lacoste. He holds a BS in Management and Finance, and post-Graduate diplomas from New York University and MIT.

Vikram Govindan

Newell Brands

Director of Data Science

Vikram Govindan is Director of Data Science at Newell Brands, based in Hoboken, NJ. In this role, he leads a team of data scientists focused on supply chain reporting and statistical demand forecasting at scale. Before taking this role, he founded and led the data science practice at C&S Wholesale Grocers, a $30 Billion privately held wholesale grocer. Prior to that, he spent nearly 8 years at Monsanto Company, holding various data science roles of increasing responsibility, with the latter half of his career focused on supply chain. Vikram holds B.Tech and M.Tech degrees in Chemical Engineering from IIT Bombay, and an MBA from Washington University in Saint Louis. He also holds CPF, ACPF, APICS, CPIM and CSCP certifications.

Felix Anane

Wonder Workshop

Director of Demand Planning and Analytics

Mike Guerra

Jose Cuervo

Sr. Manager, Operations

Mike is a Global Supply Chain leader with 20 years’ experience in the automobile, aerospace, food and beverages, and telecommunication industries with a proven track record in delivering complex transformation system projects from scoping and planning to final delivery. His current role is Sr. Manager, Supply Chain Operations, at Jose Cuervo where he oversees the Demand, Supply, Bulk and Manufacturing Alliances planning teams. Mike has led the production module of JDA and other software implementations across retail and manufacturing environments. His background includes many years of manufacturing, demand, supply and consultancy areas. Prior to joining Jose Cuervo, he was Director of Planning and Customer Supply Chain at The Hershey Company. He holds an MBA from the University of Monterrey.

Michael Devinoff

Bristol-Myers Squibb

Vice President, Enterprise Strategy Analytics (ESA) Lead

Michael Devinoff is currently Vice President, Enterprise Strategy Analytics Lead at Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMS). He created and leads a 50-person strong, company-wide team focusing on strategic long-range forecasting, manufacturing supply planning, enterprise resource allocation and other cross-business unit advanced analytics. Michael has been with BMS for 18 years working in different areas of the business including Marketing Research, Forecasting, and Advanced Analytics. Prior to his time with BMS, Michael spent four years with NFO-Migliara/Kaplan Associates, an industry-leading Marketing Research consulting company. There he successfully built a multi-million-dollar base of client business and led a broad team of research analysts addressing strategic business questions across the entire range of products. Michael holds an MBA in Marketing from Rutgers University Graduate School of Management, and a BS in Biology/Genetic Engineering from Binghamton University.

Why Attend
Pre-Conference Workshop
About Us

Reserve Your Space Without Obligation

This event was very informative and there were great ideas presented that I will be using to improve our forecasting process.

Barbara Thomas, Demand Planning Manager, Ecolab, Inc.

IBF’s 5th Annual Predictive Business Analytics, Forecasting & Planning Conference is a comprehensive program covering everything about predicting the future using new sources of data, methods, tools, talent management approaches, and more to become confident with our decision making and business plans.

Why YOU should Attend:

Understand how to create a data driven culture in your organization and win
Learn how to turn Big Data into valuable insights for better operations planning
Learn how to apply predictive analytics to the S&OP process for maximum impact
Learn how to use social media, point-of-sale (POS), syndicated data, and other attributes to predict sales
Gain knowledge on emerging technology tools for predictive analytics & business forecasting that are making organizations more profitable
Learn how to optimize inventory and customer service through improved business analytics
See the significant financial benefits that can result from improving the analytics capabilities within your organization
Learn how to mitigate risk through predictive analytics
And much more

Event Speakers

Heidi Rico | Keynote Presenter

US Foods

Sr. Director of Business Analytics & Forecasting

Arya Eskamani

Royal Caribbean Cruises

Data Science Leader

Geoffrey Stamper

Bristol-Myers Squibb

Director, R&D Portfolio Optimization and Global Demand Planning

Past Conference Schedule

Pre-Conference Workshop

May 6, 2019
Conference Day 1

May 7, 2019
Conference Day 2

May 8, 2019

May 6, IBF Members Only

12:30 PM - 1:30 PM

Pre-Conference Workshop Registration

1:30 PM - 4:30 PM

Hands-On Data Science & Predictive Analytics - 1/2 Day Workshop

This workshop will provide practical tips to incorporate into your own organization, where you’ll learn to leverage the cutting-edge of analytics technology. We will focus on data science applications for forecasting and best practices using Python. Recent advances in forecasting, often called Predictive Analytics techniques, involve the use of Big Data, including analysis of textual data like that created by social media (Facebook etc.). In this workshop, you will fully develop and script your own analytics solutions while simultaneously learning Python and its capabilities. This ½ day masterclass will be especially helpful for demand planners and forecasters looking to implement the latest advancements and next-level techniques.

I. Introduction

II. Software Overview

Popular Data Science tools
Python 101

III. Environment

Reading and summarizing data
Merging data objects
Feature engineering
Installing and initiating packages

IV. Data Cleansing & Preparation

Feature Scaling
Univariate vs Multivariate Outlier Detection
DBSCAN clustering, anomaly extraction

V. Machine Learning Module 1 – Regression

Machine Learning Defined
Comparison to Statistical Methods
Artificial Neural Networks

VI. Model Optimization

K-Fold Cross Validation
Parameter Selection
Assessing model accuracy, stability
Combining models to improve accuracy

VII. Machine Learning Module 2 – Classification

Overview of Ensemble Modeling
Random Forest Trees

VIII. Machine Learning Module 3 – Advanced Topics

Gradient Boosted Trees
Explaining model behavior
Extended R Programming

IX. Data Visualization

Plotting Basics
Advanced Graphics

X. Topics of Exploration & Closing

Arya Eskamani

Royal Caribbean CruisesData Science Leader

5:00 PM - 7:00 PM

Early Conference Registration

Pricing

Super Early Bird Rate
(Expires in 3 days, 8 hours)

Conference

May 6-8, 2019

Breakfast & Refreshments

Lunch

Evening Cocktail Reception

May 7, 2019

Pre-confernece Workshop

May 6, 2019 (IBF Members ONLY)

IBF Membership

(1 year)

IBF CPF Certification Exams

Fundamentals Of Demand Planning & Forecasting Book

Discount Price

SILVER	GOLD	SILVER GROUP PACKAGE (2 PERSONS)	GOLD GROUP PACKAGE (2 PERSONS)	4TH FREE - GOLD GROUP (4 PERSONS FOR PRICE OF 3)	PRE-CONFERENCE WORKSHOP: PREDICTIVE BUSINESS ANALYTICS & BIG DATA WITHIN THE SUPPLY CHAIN (IBF MEMBERS ONLY)	GOLD CERTIFY PACKAGE








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