Tariffs and Global Instability Slowing US Economic Growth
Consensus expects GDP growth to rise 1.39% from Q4 2025 to Q3 2026, reflecting a general belief in continued, though modest, economic expansion. Wells Fargo, however, projects a weaker second half of 2025, citing mounting uncertainty, persistent price pressures, and a trade policy still in flux. They also note that business spending has shifted toward intellectual property rather than equipment ...
From Issue:
Forecasting Reimagined: The Impact of LLMs on Demand Forecasting
(Fall 2025)
IBF Journal Article by Nur M. Onvural, originally published in Fall 2025

Tariffs and Global Instability Slowing US Economic Growth