IBF Webinar: We Were Already Broken - Fixing Vulnerable Supply Chains Post-COVIDFree webinar and Q&A for demand planning and supply chain professionals
Patrick Bower
Sr. Director of Supply Chain

Patrick Bower has a wide area of expertise, including S&OP, Demand Planning, Inventory, Network Optimization, and Production Scheduling. A recognized expert on demand planning and S&OP, and a self-professed “S&OP geek” - Patrick was previously Practice Manager of Supply Chain Planning at the consulting firm, Plan4Demand where his client list included Diageo, Bayer, GlaxoSmithKline, Pfizer, Foster Farms, Cabot Industries and American Girl. Patrick’s experience encompasses tenures with Cadbury, Kraft Foods, Unisys, and Snapple. Patrick also worked for the supply chain software company - Numetrix, and was Vice President of R&D at Atrion International. He was also the recipient of IBF’s 2012 award for Excellence in Business Forecasting & Planning.

Jonathon Karelse
NorthFind Management

Jonathon is a recognized thought leader in demand planning and S&OP and is CEO and co-founder of the consultancy NorthFind Management. Jonathon has been a long-term contributor to the IBF’s body of knowledge, with a specific focus on forecasting metrics, decision making, and behavioral science. Jonathon is the author of an Amazon #1 Best Seller for his book, “Histories of the Future: Milestones in the Last 100 Years of Business Forecasting”. He is a graduate of the MIT Sloan School of Management, a member of the 2019 Management Excellence cohort at Harvard Business School and is a member of the Harvard Business Review’s Advisory Council.

Eric Wilson, ACPF
Director – Thought Leadership
Institute of Business Forecasting & Planning
Eric is a predictive analytics and business planning innovator, author, and speaker. He is the Director of Thought Leadership at the IBF. Prior to this he worked as the Director of Demand Planning at Escalade Sports, Director of Demand Planning at Berry Plastics, and Director of Demand Planning & S&OP at Tempur Sealy International. In 2016, he received the Excellence in Business Forecasting & Planning award from the IBF. He is an IBF Advanced Certified Professional Forecaster (ACPF) with over 20 years of experience. Eric is a visionary in his field, a frequent speaker and panelist for many executive forums and professional conferences, and has written numerous articles in publications such as The Journal of Business Forecasting and APICS Magazine. He is also the author of the books Cultural Cycles and Predictive Analytics for Business Forecasting & Planning.
In this free-to-attend webinar and Q&A, supply chain leaders will reveal how supply chains were set up to fail long before COVID hit. The combination of changing customer expectations, over use of Lean and Just-in-Time methodologies, SKU proliferation and BOM complexity set the supply chain up for future failure. We'll discuss how over-optimized supply chains reduced both slack capacity and inventory and were at least part of the reason for massive shortages of essential items during the pandemic. We'll also share ideas on how we can move forward as a discipline to make supply chains more robust and adaptive to the changing global environment. Our experts will take your questions.
  • What caused the massive supply chain shortages seen during COVID and the factors behind our vulnerable supply chains
  • The role of lean, Just-In-Time, SKU proliferation, BOM complexity in supply shortages
  • How efficiency models can be the enemy of agility
  • How ever-decreasing lead times removed inventory and, in retrospect, buffers needed to blunt the inevitable disruptive failure
  • The importance of rethinking our approach to safety stocks and how we can move ahead by revisiting our supply chain design
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