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An Executive's Guide to Econometric Forecasting
Part I: The Basics
- Some Practical Aspects of Econometric Forecasting
- The National Econometric Model--A Layman's Guide
- A Company Econometric Model--A Layman's Guide
- The Five Econometric Theories Underlying Econometric Models
- ABC of Econometric Forecasting
Part II: Dealing With Structural Changes
- Structural Changes-- An Overview
- Ways to Detect and Correct Structural Changes
- Coping with Structural Changes--The Integrated Industry Model
- When Prices Affect Demand, It's Time to Change Model
- A Way to Keep Up with a Shifting Market Place
Part III: Improving Regression Based Models
- Five Ways to Improve Regression Based Forecasts
- Ingredients of a Good Regression Based Model
- Some Tips for Improving Regression Based Model
Part IV: The Model Builders and Their Models
- A Quick Glance at Four Econometric Models
- The Chase Model
- The DRI Model
- The Wharton Model
- The Kent Model
- A Nobel Laureate Looks to the Future of Econometric Models
Part V: Evaluation and Use of Models
- What Econometric Models Can Do and Cannot Do
- Six Questions to Ask Forecasters, and How to Use the Answers
- How to Evaluate Econometric Forecasts
- How Union Carbide Uses Macroeconomic Forecasts
- Econometric vs. Survey Forecasts
Part VI: Simulation
- How Monetary Policy Affects National and Industry Forecasts
- Interest Rate Forecasting
Part VII: Econometric Service Bureaus
- A Guide to Selecting an Econometric Service Bureau
Part VIII: Regional Models
- Regional Forecasts--How are They Prepared?
- Determining the Impact of New Business on Local Economy
Part IX: Leading Economic Indicators
- Leading Economic Indicators Can Be Misleading
- Are the Leading Economic Indicators Really Leading?
Part X: The Long Wave
- The Long Wave Cycle
Part XI
- System Dynamics
- System Dynamics vs. Econometric Models
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